Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.190136 0.219491 0.253312 0.295493 0.347157 0.408978 0.489479
2025-03-30 0.143278 0.179672 0.226484 0.292473 0.385396 0.515299 0.717757
2025-04-06 0.118357 0.157617 0.212423 0.297421 0.431656 0.646611 1.043396
2025-04-13 0.099803 0.138900 0.196916 0.293800 0.461667 0.763417 1.413299
2025-04-20 0.088439 0.127781 0.189318 0.299058 0.506145 0.922296 1.972842
2025-04-27 0.080275 0.119805 0.184560 0.307075 0.557393 1.118082 2.788056
2025-05-04 0.073538 0.112856 0.179911 0.313654 0.607644 1.338516 3.919441
2025-05-11 0.068271 0.107464 0.176822 0.322181 0.665089 1.611954 5.632952
2025-05-18 0.063228 0.101696 0.171967 0.325763 0.712374 1.890290 7.917881
2025-05-25 0.058705 0.096234 0.166751 0.327260 0.755227 2.188839 11.097206
2025-06-01 0.054421 0.090674 0.160473 0.324898 0.787053 2.477727 15.247769
2025-06-08 0.050377 0.085107 0.153382 0.319081 0.807086 2.742294 20.476069
2025-06-15 0.048091 0.082724 0.152693 0.329373 0.883848 3.348297 33.879665
2025-06-22 0.044699 0.077834 0.146038 0.323050 0.904080 3.712534 48.260324
2025-06-29 0.042494 0.075085 0.143692 0.327811 0.966921 4.410168 82.653740
2025-07-06 0.039890 0.071266 0.138452 0.323455 0.994407 4.943597 130.349142
2025-07-13 0.038197 0.069165 0.136871 0.329330 1.067000 5.944012 264.984421
2025-07-20 0.036833 0.067614 0.136369 0.338387 1.159652 7.342942 680.406441
2025-07-27 0.035481 0.065958 0.135392 0.345836 1.251049 9.022199 2236.915224
2025-08-03 0.034338 0.064646 0.135094 0.355507 1.361448 11.348580 14685.599903
2025-08-10 0.033009 0.062802 0.133224 0.359573 1.446986 13.778678 363978.704836
2025-08-17 0.031676 0.060836 0.130806 0.361273 1.522329 16.511195 NaN
2025-08-24 0.030260 0.058571 0.127354 0.358591 1.571546 19.149446 NaN